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Stranger than History

Suppose I told you that I knew for a fact that the following statements were true:

You’d think I was crazy, right?

Now suppose it were the year 1901, and you had to choose between believing those statements I have just offered, and believing statements like the following:

Based on a comment of Robin Hanson’s: “I wonder if one could describe in enough detail a fictional story of an alternative reality, a reality that our ancestors could not distinguish from the truth, in order to make it very clear how surprising the truth turned out to be.”

Original Seeing




The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence